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Globaler Investmentausblick zur Jahresmitte 2024: Wachstum mit unterschiedlichen Geschwindigkeiten und unterschiedlicher Dynamik

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Das globale Wachstum dürfte bis Jahresende 3,1 % erreichen und 2025 bei 3 % liegen. Die Inflation wird sich im kommenden Jahr voraussichtlich normalisieren, so dass die wichtigsten Zentralbanken ihre Zinssätze senken werden, wenn auch nicht alle gleichzeitig. Ein neuer Inflationsschub nach den US-Wahlen ist ein Risiko, das Anleger im Auge behalten sollten.
Das geopolitische Risiko wird in den kommenden Jahren weiter zunehmen, insbesondere durch die Beziehung zwischen den USA und China. Auch Europa wird seinen Ansatz gegenüber China anpassen und sich auf seine eigenen strategischen Prioritäten wie Verteidigung, Energiewende und Widerstandsfähigkeit der Lieferketten konzentrieren.
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